Is anything worse than usual in Usta Muhammad right now?

Yes. Pneumonia in under-fives is above usual: 1.9× its usual for these weeks. Three more are above usual: bloody diarrhoea, flu-like illness and non-cholera diarrhoea.

272 pneumonia in under-fives cases a week, against a usual 142.

• Pneumonia in under-fives ›1.9×
• Bloody diarrhoea ›1.5×
• Flu-like illness ›1.4×
• Non-cholera diarrhoea ›1.3×
• Dog bite ›0.3×
• Malaria ›0.2×
• Typhoid ›0.1×
• Suspected cholera ›0.0×
• Severe chest infection ›0.0×

⅛×usual8×

How this is worked out. The last four weeks against the same four weeks of the two years before, for this district alone. Illnesses with fewer than 5 cases a week here are left out: too few to compare.

What makes the most people ill here?

Non-cholera diarrhoea: 59 of every 100 reports here this year.

• Non-cholera diarrhoea59 in 100
• Pneumonia in under-fives14 in 100
• Flu-like illness12 in 100
• Bloody diarrhoea7 in 100
• Malaria6 in 100
• 5 others2 in 100

32,877 reports from Usta Muhammad so far in 2026.

Which illnesses are coming into season here?

Too few weeks of reports, or too few cases, to show a season in Usta Muhammad yet.

How does Usta Muhammad compare with the rest of Pakistan?

Usta Muhammad is 5th of the 68 districts with enough pneumonia in under-fives to compare, each against its own usual.

Across Pakistan as a whole, pneumonia in under-fives is at 0.9× its usual; here it is 1.9×.

Why each district against itself. A large district always has more cases than a small one. Each dot is a district against its own usual, so size drops out.

Can we trust this week's numbers for Usta Muhammad?

Yes, for this week. Usta Muhammad sent figures in 36 of the last 52 weekly reports.